Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.265321 3.872522 4.591927 5.515741 6.683030 8.125814 1.007070e+01
2024-10-27 2.331898 3.043538 3.997540 5.403514 7.482512 10.545469 1.560684e+01
2024-11-03 2.028904 2.823207 3.981908 5.866608 9.004020 14.322427 2.479067e+01
2024-11-10 1.765637 2.576282 3.836587 6.050433 10.107289 17.855258 3.572228e+01
2024-11-17 1.595816 2.425406 3.788764 6.354463 11.493634 22.507868 5.239008e+01
2024-11-24 1.407793 2.206729 3.576735 6.298082 12.154991 25.981733 6.931953e+01
2024-12-01 1.276991 2.059632 3.456030 6.376246 13.118054 30.669292 9.486034e+01
2024-12-08 1.164099 1.924836 3.330377 6.408401 13.987388 35.639342 1.281226e+02
2024-12-15 1.097826 1.863150 3.330297 6.706583 15.631682 43.983896 1.902458e+02
2024-12-22 0.998422 1.725553 3.156158 6.567237 16.064860 48.756445 2.450662e+02
2024-12-29 0.926195 1.630632 3.053961 6.575044 16.932880 55.846300 3.344301e+02
2025-01-05 0.854058 1.527058 2.917616 6.467212 17.418517 61.906116 4.382865e+02
2025-01-12 0.804435 1.472996 2.903154 6.738693 19.516166 78.666670 7.566088e+02
2025-01-19 0.729883 1.360413 2.744835 6.600400 20.239405 90.482416 1.149797e+03
2025-01-26 0.708389 1.355771 2.834046 7.195761 24.154993 128.359574 2.774260e+03
2025-02-02 0.669104 1.306435 2.805907 7.433120 26.839084 165.337827 6.125403e+03
2025-02-09 0.640915 1.277649 2.823342 7.826660 30.624652 224.208614 1.791386e+04
2025-02-16 0.595978 1.204433 2.712475 7.753584 32.077886 266.476241 4.283866e+04
2025-02-23 0.562689 1.154379 2.654916 7.854904 34.644800 335.160665 1.593979e+05
2025-03-02 0.530642 1.103385 2.586228 7.896608 36.980526 415.818738 9.116971e+05
2025-03-09 0.512661 1.084379 2.604220 8.283992 42.025538 585.017843 1.278973e+08
2025-03-16 0.479161 1.023010 2.489871 8.102815 43.022369 681.221266 NaN
2025-03-23 0.454179 0.980519 2.425038 8.112960 45.570414 852.816942 NaN